ALPHA LAB
risk on
$48,230(+0.7%)

Morning Briefing

Saturday, March 21, 2026

risk onConfidence: 82%
Updated 5 min ago

VIX

14.2

Credit Spreads

Tight

Breadth

67%

Momentum

Strong

Yield Curve

Steepening

Dollar

Weakening

AI Market Narrative

GPT-4
Generated 15 min ago

Markets are in a risk-on regime with strong momentum across tech and crypto. The VIX at 14.2 suggests low implied volatility, but the term structure is showing early signs of inversion at the 30-day point. Your portfolio is well-positioned with a 67% long bias, though the concentration in tech (42% of gross exposure) creates tail risk if we see a sector rotation. Key catalysts today: US CPI at 08:30 ET could shift the Fed narrative, and AAPL earnings after close will test your Mean-Rev v1 position. Consider tightening stops on the NVDA position ahead of the CPI print. The BTC/ETH spread convergence trade is progressing as expected with the z-score moving from -1.9 to -0.8 over the past 3 sessions.

Portfolio Summary

Total Value

$1,247,830

+$3,412 (+0.27%) today

Weekly P&L

+$12,840

Monthly P&L

+$48,210

Open Positions

12

Win Rate (7d)

64%

Action Items

2 urgent
R

Tighten NVDA stop to $870

CPI release at 08:30 may cause vol spike

high
V

Review AAPL position before earnings

Earnings after close today, Mean-Rev v1 has long exposure

high
T

BTC/ETH spread approaching target

Z-score at -0.8, consider taking partial profit

medium
S

Run backtest on Gold/Silver mean-reversion

Radar flagged ratio at 88x, 2 std devs above mean

medium
R

Review sector concentration risk

Tech at 42% of gross exposure, above 35% limit

low

Social Pulse

Twitter/X

#BTC, #AI, $NVDA

Bullish

Score: 72/100

Reddit

GME squeeze, rate cuts

Mixed

Score: 51/100

Discord

China tariffs, VIX

Bearish

Score: 34/100

Upcoming Events

08:30

US CPI Data Release

Core CPI expected +0.3% MoM

10:00

Fed Chair Powell Speech

Monetary policy outlook

13:00

Treasury 10Y Auction

$39B 10-year note auction

16:00

AAPL Earnings After Close

Q1 2026 results