Morning Briefing
Saturday, March 21, 2026
VIX
14.2
Credit Spreads
Tight
Breadth
67%
Momentum
Strong
Yield Curve
Steepening
Dollar
Weakening
AI Market Narrative
GPT-4Markets are in a risk-on regime with strong momentum across tech and crypto. The VIX at 14.2 suggests low implied volatility, but the term structure is showing early signs of inversion at the 30-day point. Your portfolio is well-positioned with a 67% long bias, though the concentration in tech (42% of gross exposure) creates tail risk if we see a sector rotation. Key catalysts today: US CPI at 08:30 ET could shift the Fed narrative, and AAPL earnings after close will test your Mean-Rev v1 position. Consider tightening stops on the NVDA position ahead of the CPI print. The BTC/ETH spread convergence trade is progressing as expected with the z-score moving from -1.9 to -0.8 over the past 3 sessions.
Portfolio Summary
Total Value
$1,247,830
+$3,412 (+0.27%) today
Weekly P&L
+$12,840
Monthly P&L
+$48,210
Open Positions
12
Win Rate (7d)
64%
Action Items
2 urgentTighten NVDA stop to $870
CPI release at 08:30 may cause vol spike
Review AAPL position before earnings
Earnings after close today, Mean-Rev v1 has long exposure
BTC/ETH spread approaching target
Z-score at -0.8, consider taking partial profit
Run backtest on Gold/Silver mean-reversion
Radar flagged ratio at 88x, 2 std devs above mean
Review sector concentration risk
Tech at 42% of gross exposure, above 35% limit
Social Pulse
Twitter/X
#BTC, #AI, $NVDA
Score: 72/100
GME squeeze, rate cuts
Score: 51/100
Discord
China tariffs, VIX
Score: 34/100
Upcoming Events
US CPI Data Release
Core CPI expected +0.3% MoM
Fed Chair Powell Speech
Monetary policy outlook
Treasury 10Y Auction
$39B 10-year note auction
AAPL Earnings After Close
Q1 2026 results